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Summary
The Dunning-Kruger Effect is a cognitive bias in which people with limited knowledge in an intellectual or social domain overestimate their own knowledge or competence in that domain. When people gain more knowledge, their confidence often decreases as they become aware of how much they do not know.
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Fernando has spent years building his life on certainty, on confidence. Across races, seasons, decades, he has learned to trust his knowledge and ignore everything that strays from it.
But certainty is not the same as truth.